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2024-12-14 00:42:15

Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)US National Security Adviser Sullivan: My goal is to reach a hostage exchange and ceasefire agreement (in Gaza) this month.Trump is reported to have talked about dividends and capital gains tax.


China Resources Land: The contracted sales in November was about 25.80 billion yuan, up 6.9% year-on-year. China Resources Land announced on the evening of December 12 that in November 2024, the Group achieved a total contracted sales of about 25.80 billion yuan, with a total contracted sales floor area of about 1.203 million square meters, up 6.9% and 11.1% respectively. In the first 11 months of 2024, the cumulative contracted sales was about RMB 229.10 billion, and the total contracted sales floor area was about 10.031 million square meters, down by 19.9% and 16.8% respectively.Spot silver fell more than 2.00% in the day and is now reported at $31.26 per ounce; COMEX silver fell more than 3.00% in a day and is now quoted at $31.98 per ounce.Market News: Hungarian Prime Minister Orban and Turkish President Erdogan discuss US sanctions against Gazprom.


South Asia Stock Market | Pakistan Stock Index closed up more than 3%, and Sri Lanka Stock Market continued to hit a record high. On Thursday (December 12), the KSE 100 Index of Karachi Stock Exchange of Pakistan closed up 3.04% to 114,000 points, which was the second consecutive trading day. Karachi's all-share index closed up 2.45% to 72,109.52 points, which also continued to hit a record high. The total share price index of Colombo, Sri Lanka, closed up 1.09% to 14,035.81 points, hitting a record high for several consecutive days. Since the close on November 25th, the cumulative increase has exceeded 9.00%. The Bangladesh DSE Generalized Index closed down 0.37% to 5105.43 points, with a cumulative decline of 1.76% this week (five consecutive natural days).Yu Chengdong officially settled in Tik Tok. On December 12th, Yu Chengdong, managing director of Huawei, chairman of BG, and chairman of BU, a smart car solution, officially settled in Tik Tok. His account number has been completed with real name and obtained official certification. At present, the account has not released works yet, and the number of fans is rising rapidly. (Auto has a style)European Central Bank President Lagarde: The European Central Bank will pay attention to the impact of the exchange rate on the economy. European Central Bank President Lagarde: The European Central Bank will pay attention to the impact of the exchange rate on the economy.

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